Parker, Barry
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Cruising: Small is Beautiful
Cruise shipping, at the intersection of maritime and hospitality industries, continues to be vibrant. The Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA), the industry’s major trade association, forecasts that the ocean cruise segment will draw 30 million passengers in 2019, up from 28.2 million in 2018. At the start of the decade, in 2010, the comparable count was 19.1 million passengers. CLIA members will have 272 vessels operating in 2019- with 18 ocean going vessels set to begin service.
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Shipping Ponders the Ultimate Cost of ‘Green’
Low sulphur fuels, scrubbers, LNG and other solutions are all part of the mix. Handicapping the impact of any of these options for the bottom line is anything but easy. Getting greener is not the problem; determining the best way to get there is quite another.By any measure, the business of running vessels will not be the same after January 1, 2020, when the present 3.5% limit on sulfur content will ratchet downward to 0.5%.
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Bulk Shipping: Economics 101
Supply and Demand in the bulk transport sectors will define the course line ahead. Less ships and more cargo will be the key.The drybulk sector – where iron ore, coal, grain and other raw materials dominate – is still wrestling with a decade-long hangover that began with the financial collapse of 2008. A recovery ensued in 2010 and 2011, but, following the time honored trade pattern, the brighter outlook brought about an avalanche of new build orders and another drop in rates ensued.
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Boxships Buffeted by Competing Calamities
Overcapacity, Fleet Supply, Weakened Earnings, Consolidation – and now – fears of trade wars fuel further uncertainties for an already unsteady boxship climate. MLPro’s Barry Parker digs in to get to the bottom of all of it.The report season for 2018 Q1 corporate results saw an “earnings miss” (reported earnings below consensus forecasts of analysts) for the bellwether of listed container equities, A.P. Moller (APM), with its largest portfolio holding being Maersk Line.
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The Digitalization of Tanker Logistics
The tanker business carefully dips its toes into the digital chartering, analytics and big (data) pond. It is a work in progress.Like every other business, raw materials, refined products and petrochemicals, are undergoing unprecedented waves of digitalization. However, shipping is one linkage, albeit an important one, within the much bigger supply chains for crude oil and products. But cargo is king…
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The Cruise Industry Business Model Evolves
Shifting populations, desirable destinations and yes – economics – drive the cruise industry of tomorrow. Unlike the cargo side of shipping, the cruise business has seen a steadily upward trajectory, with steady growth over decades. The 2018 annual “State of the Cruise Industry” report from Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) was projecting a count of 27.2 million passengers for 2018, showing a steady rise from the 19.1 million…
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Digging Deep for Good News
Dredging firms look ahead to more business, here and across the big pond. Along the way, Mother Nature and good business planning will both help. In the waning days of 2016, the outlook brightened dramatically for the big U.S. dredging contractors. Just before Congress dispersed for the Holidays, then-President Obama signed a pivotal piece of legislation – the Water Infrastructure Improvements for the Nation (WIIN) Act, S612.
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Murky Waters Persist as Ballast Water Weighs on Shipowners
Ballast Water rules and approvals advanced in 2016. Shipowners, OEM’s and shipyards now have to do the same, as 2017 looks to be even busier. September 2016 was a milestone for the international shipping business. Fully 12 years after the international convention on Ballast Water Treatment (BWT) was agreed by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the convention was officially ratified, after Flag States for 35 percent of merchant shipping tonnage voted “yes.” One year later…
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Ports Ponder Public Private Partnerships
Because any port is only as efficient as its weakest link, so-called P3 funding will be the key to driving the future intermodal equation. Seaport and marine terminal finance draws from a wide range of funding sources, often combined to pay for a particular project. Ports are public goods, and as such, sometimes they also see varying contributions from federal, state, regional and local entities. At its lowest common denominator…
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Better Times for Box Carriers Ahead?
In the choppy wake of the liner alliance reshuffle, industry consolidation and the (long awaited) boost from expanded Panama Canal traffic, a glimmer of hope appears. The situation for the liner carriers has clearly improved since the doldrums of 2016. Consultants Drewry were estimating that container carriers could book profits of $5 billion in 2017 – coming on the heels of half a decade of losses.
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Managing the New Panamax Containerships
The explosive growth of international boxships is challenging not only the physical infrastructure of North American ports, but also the very nature of the existing supply chains that they impact. The recent dialogue on container shipping has been all about so-called “mega-ships;” those vessels that with larger capacity than those that are already in service at any point in time. In the container trades…
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Green Shipping: Cargo Carriers Clutch at Compliance
LNG looms as the bridge to a ‘zero emissions’ future for shipping. The advent of industry wide tightening of allowable sulfur emissions is getting nearer. Suddenly, with the deadline now just one year away, the countdown clock will very soon be ticking much louder. Simply stated, the cap on allowable sulfur content in marine fuels, presently at 3.5 percent in many geographical regions, will be reduced to 0.5 percent in January 2020.
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US Boatbuilding: Exports Buoy Bottom Lines
Market conditions dampen some future prospects, but domestic yards have proven that they can compete overseas, and will do so again when the time is right. These are ‘interesting’ times for U.S. shipbuilders. The tail end of one of the biggest boom cycles seen in the last 50 years also finds some builders at the pointy end of once-fat backorder books and searching for new sources of business. This point in the cycle, however, also provides ample proof that U.S.
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Happy Holidays from Hanjin
Barry Parker dissects one the most disruptive events ever to impact the intermodal supply chain. There is more pain to come, lessons to be learned – and corrections applied. The Hanjin Shipping debacle, brewing over time and seeing a full blown eruption in late August, is still ongoing. The company voluntarily opted to enter ‘receivership,’ followed by a Chapter 15 bankruptcy filing in the States, shortly after the initial bombshell.
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Ship Management and Technology
Technology is central, not merely an add-on, to ship manager brand value. Ship managers who operate vessels on behalf of their owner clients, are the lynchpin of international shipping. As the industry has gone through rounds of relentless cost cutting, at times of increasing regulatory scrutiny, and commercial pressures for high standards, third party managers have filled the need for raising quality, while maintaining tight cost controls.
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Managing Shipping & Risk with New Variables
Outside investors and other variables change the way that shipping firms manage risk. Investable assets include ships, freight and even the hedging of bunkers. "Shipping is now an investable asset,” was an important observation by analyst Tyler Rosenlicht, a research analyst at investment fund packager Cohen & Steers, speaking at the recent Capital Link conference on master limited partnerships (MLP) – a vehicle increasingly seen in shipping deal structures.
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The Other Side of the Flange
Looking beyond the dollars and cents in the demise of bunker giant OW Bunker, MarPro contributor Barry Parker examines the unusual human resources aspect of the story. The old cliché in shipping and commodity businesses says that, “When the tide recedes, you can see which vessels have hulls that are battered up, or worse, actually breached.” OW Bunkering, which took on water and foundered in November…
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The Economics of Slowing Down Ships
MarPro crunches the numbers on vessel steaming economics. What should you do? The topics of fuel efficiency, slow steaming and monetary savings have received tremendous attention from all sectors of the maritime business over the past few years. For operators of vessels burning heavy or intermediate fuels, the reasons are well known. High fuel prices (compared to historical levels) in the period from 2010 onward…
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Powering Ahead with Wind Assist Technologies
Wind assist technologies have come of age for shipping companies. A panel discussion entitled “Accelerating Adoption of Double Digit Fuel Saving Technologies,” at the recent Danish Maritime Days in early October drove this point home nicely. Describing the meeting in Copenhagen, Dr. Tristan Smith, from University College London’s (UCL) Energy Institute, told Maritime Professional last month that “……
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The Human Aspect of the Autonomous Ship
Arguably a long way off, the autonomous ship is likely coming. What that means for labor, the stakeholders that prepare mariners to go to sea and the firms that will operate these futuristic vessels is another thing altogether. According to Dr. Jeremy Rifkin, a Wharton professor who has advised the European Union on Sustainability, among other things, we are in the midst of a ‘Third Industrial Revolution.’…
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