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Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Simon Heaney News

Image: Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited.

Drewry Cuts Global Port Throughput Forecast

Drewry Shipping Consultants has revealed that it now expects global port throughput to rise by 2.6% in 2019, down from the previous 3.0% expectation.The mood-music surrounding the container market has deteriorated further in the last three months, resulting in Drewry downgrading its outlook for world container port throughput for the current year and the rest of the five-year horizon in the Container Market Annual Review and Forecast.The weight of risks pressing down on the container market seems to be getting heavier by the day…

Simon Heaney, senior manager, container research at Drewry and editor of the Container Forecaster.

Container Market Challenges Likely as Uncertainty Mounts

Today’s container market is confronting more than its fair share of headwinds.The recently published Container Forecaster from global shipping consultancy, Drewry, highlights concerns of a slowing global economy stoked by the ongoing US-China trade war (albeit paused for the moment), escalating geo-political tension in many regions of the world and an industry grappling with challenging new emission regulations. Beyond these, however, a series of existential fears are also beginning to present themselves that could dent demand for shipping in the future…

Pic: Drewry

Drewry Sees Balanced Supply-Demand in ULCVs

Maritime research consultancy Drewry believes that the industry’s supply-demand balance will benefit from a reduced appetite for Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs) among the major carriers, some of which now have their eyes fixed on a bigger prize of becoming global logistics integrators."Aside from feeder ship replenishment, there has been no reaction from other lines to HMM’s mega-ship order and as such we have greatly reduced our projected new orders for 2020 onwards,” said Simon Heaney…

File Photo: Hyundai Merchant Marine Co

Drewry Predicts Better Freight Rates and Profits

The shipping industry’s supply-demand balance will benefit from a reduced appetite for Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs) among the major carriers, some of which now have their eyes fixed on a bigger prize of becoming global logistics integrators, said Drewry.Simon Heaney, senior manager, container research at Drewry and editor of the Container Forecaster said: "Aside from feeder ship replenishment, there has been no reaction from other lines to Hyundai Merchant Marine (HMM)’s…

Simon Heaney, senior manager, container research at Drewry and editor of the Container Forecaster.

Supply Chain Battle to Aide Container Supply-Demand Balance

“We believe that the industry’s supply-demand balance will benefit from a reduced appetite for Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs) among the major carriers, some of which now have their eyes fixed on a bigger prize of becoming global logistics integrators. Aside from feeder ship replenishment, there has been no reaction from other lines to HMM’s mega-ship order and as such we have greatly reduced our projected new orders for 2020 onwards,” said Simon Heaney, senior manager, container research at Drewry and editor of the Container Forecaster.

(Photo: Drewry)

Drewry Downgrades Forecast for Container Demand

A gloomier world economic outlook and rising trade tensions have forced Drewry to downgrade its forecast for container demand over the next five years, according to the global shipping consultancy’s latest edition of the Container Forecaster.Drewry’s long-term supply and demand prognosis for carriers has deteriorated since the last report. Previously, the company’s global supply-demand index was expected to take incremental steps upwards through 2022, by which time the industry would at long last be close to equilibrium.However…

Image: Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited

Trade Wars Threaten to Derail Container Revival: Drewry

The risk to container shipping from US-led trade wars is currently low, but potentially very damaging, according to the latest edition of the Container Forecaster published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. “In the March report we said that we were hopeful of a peaceful resolution, but at this point in time we must accept that tariffs are going to become a reality. The only question now is: how severe will they be?” said Simon Heaney, senior manager, container research at Drewry and editor of the Container Forecaster.

© vladsv / Adobe Stock

Trade War All About the Eastbound Transpacific -BIMCO

When two of the world’s top trading partners get entangled in a stand-off, where the outbreak of a trade war could become the extended tool of intense negotiations, BIMCO says we’d better prepare for what may come while hoping that it will never take place.The U.S. is China’s largest trading partner measured by value – and China is the largest one-country trading partner that the U.S. has.“The global shipping industry naturally gets concerned when two nations of huge importance to most shipping sectors get in the ring to fight a trade war – gloves off…

Image: Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited

Drewry Predicts Modest Growth for Container Shipping

The outlook for the container shipping market in 2018 and 2019 is a combination of healthy demand growth that will outpace the fleet; resulting in a better supply-demand balance and slightly higher freight rates and profits for carriers, according to the latest edition of the Container Forecaster published by global shipping consultancy Drewry. “The bad news for carriers is that they are unlikely to see the very strong demand growth rates of early 2017 for the foreseeable future.

Graph: Drewry Research

Six-Month High for Service Reliability

Ocean carriers achieved a six-month high for liner service reliability in May, according to Carrier Performance Insight, the online schedule reliability tool provided by Drewry Supply Chain Advisors. The on-time average of 76.0% for the 10 trades covered was a 4.1 point improvement on April, representing the third straight month-on-month rise. Along with the better on-time performance so to there was an improvement for the average deviation from the expected arrival at port, which came down from 0.9 days in April to 0.8 days in May, the lowest it has been since December 2015.

Graph: Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited

Liner Reliability Bucks Downward Trend

Ocean carriers bucked a five-month downwards trend by improving container service reliability in March, according to Carrier Performance Insight, the online schedule reliability tool provided by Drewry Supply Chain Advisors. The average on-time performance in March gained 5.5 points against February to reach 68% with an average deviation from the expected arrival at port of 1.0 days. The improvement seen in March was expected as services returned to closer to operational normality after Chinese New Year in February when carriers tinkered with ever more void sailings to mitigate weaker demand.

Drewry containership reliability by trade, March 2016.

Liner Reliability Bucks Downward Trend - Drewry

Ocean carriers bucked a five-month downwards trend by improving container service reliability in March, according to Carrier Performance Insight, the online schedule reliability tool provided by Drewry Supply Chain Advisors. The average on-time performance in March gained 5.5 points against February to reach 68% with an average deviation from the expected arrival at port of 1.0 days. The improvement seen in March was expected as services returned to closer to operational normality after Chinese New Year in February when carriers tinkered with ever more void sailings to mitigate weaker demand.

Graph: Drewry Supply Chain Advisors

Drewry: Container Reliability Stable in November

Containership reliability was broadly unchanged in November as the average on-time performance across all trades slipped by just 0.8 percentage points against October to 77.2%, according to Carrier Performance Insight, the online schedule reliability tool provided by Drewry Supply Chain Advisors. Six of the 10 trades covered recorded month-on-month on-time improvements in November, but worse performances in each of the three East-West trades and in the Asia-South America route – the only North-South trade to decline – dragged down the overall reliability performance.

Image: The Hanjin Group

Chinese Slowdown Hitting Container Shipping

The slowdown in China’s economy poses some risks for container shipping, according to Drewry Maritime Research. According to a new report from Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd, the risks from a slowdown in Chinese consumption to container shipping are far smaller than for the dry bulk sector, but they are not inconsiderable and will contribute to slowing world box growth. Container-shipping lines, already concerned about demand from struggling economies in Europe and many emerging markets, can now add China to their list of problems.

Graph: Drewry Shipping Consultants Limited

Carrier Schedule Reliability Improves in April

Transport consultant Drewry’s Carrier Performance Insight (CPI) for April records 67.6%, up by 4.1 percentage improvement on the previous month in the aggregate reliability of ships on the main Asia-Europe, transpacific and transatlantic trades. The previous best since Drewry’s new data series started in May 2014 was achieved in October last year (64.3%) after which the industry struggled to cope with heavy port congestion on the US West Coast and the implementation of new alliance partnerships and services.

Pic: Maersk Line

Liner Service Reliability Jumps to 64%

According to Drewry Supply Chain Advisors, liner shipping service reliability on the three East-West trades showed an aggregate on-time performance of 64% in March - a five-month high. According to Carrier Performance Insight, the online schedule reliability tool provided by Drewry, this was 8.5% up on the February figure - and the second best aggregate since the new data series begun last May. The latest result represents an 8.5 percentage point gain over February and is the second best average (after October 2014) since the start of the new data series in May 2014.

Aggregate Schedule Reliability of Top 20 Container Carriers, Source: Drewry’s Carrier Performance Insight

Maersk, Hamburg Sud Lead Reliability Rankings

Maersk Line and Hamburg Sud are ranked as the two most reliable container shipping carriers, according to performance rankings published in the new online version of the Carrier Performance Insight (http://cpi.drewry.co.uk) published by shipping consultancy Drewry. Maersk Line and Hamburg Süd were by far the most reliable carriers in the three months to October 2014 with overall on-time performances of 80.4% and 78.5% respectively. The next best performing carrier was Cosco at 69.9%…

Big Ship Orders Keep Focus on Carrier Supply Pressures

Attempts by carriers to tackle the capacity overhang are being undone as new orders for Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs) continue to make the headlines, according to Drewry’s monthly report Sea & Air Shipper Insight. The news that China Shipping Container Lines will join Maersk in the super-size containership club following board approval for five 18,000 teu ships is further proof of the demand for these fuel-efficient ULCVs among the major lines – it is just a question of when and how many will make the leap.

Container Industry Needs to Improve Says Report

Drewry Maritime Research’s new quarterly report 'Carrier Performance Insight' revealed that industry-wide vessel schedule reliability improved to 72.3% in the first quarter of 2012, but carriers’ service standards for some commercial processes remain as low 40%. The latest result represents a 2.9 percentage point improvement on the previous record 69.4% on-time average recorded in the last quarter of 2011 and means that there have been reliability gains in four consecutive quarters.

(Source: Drewry)

Container Carriers Set Reliability Record

Container service reliability reached a new high in the final quarter of 2011 with an on-time average of 69% across all the trades covered by Drewry’s Schedule Reliability Insight report, just published. The latest result was up by 6 percentage points over the previous quarter, meaning that schedule reliability has improved for three consecutive quarters, a feat only equalled once before between 4Q08 and 2Q09. Despite the positive results, the report points out that when the previous record of 68% was set in the second quarter of 2009 there followed a sharp deterioration in reliability.

Drewry: Container Schedule Reliability Improvement

Container service reliability improved for the second quarter in a row during the third quarter of 2011, according to Drewry Maritime Research’s latest Schedule Reliability Insight report. The report is the longest established independent survey of liner service reliability in the marketplace with data stretching back to the end of 2005. The proportion of 3,281 ships arriving on time (defined as either arriving at port on the advertised ETA or a day earlier) at selected ports in the third quarter of 2011 rose by 8 percentage points against the previous quarter to 63%.